GeauxBlue

Day one in 2026 ran about 40% above 2022. Another 10,267 absentee ballots had been accepted by then. Party and candidate splits are not published, so turnout alone says little about who is ahead.

Cash figures conflict by source. An AJC report put Jackson near $11M and Bottoms near $1.3M when all of each candidate's accounts, including leadership committees, are counted. Jackson spent more than $100M of his own money winning the nomination.

Akashic's model leaned Democratic at 58%, and Polymarket priced Democrats at about 59% on the same date. Both predate the October polls above, so check a current source before leaning on this.

Republicans have won every Georgia governor's race since 2002. Jackson beat Trump-endorsed Burt Jones 53% to 47% in the June runoff.

• Jon Ossoff (D) is the incumbent. Rep. Mike Collins is the Republican nominee.
• A Libertarian, Allen Buckley, drew 1.3% in the September Trafalgar poll. Most other polls here report two candidates only.
• The August InsiderAdvantage poll was sponsored by James Magazine Online, a conservative-leaning Georgia outlet. Who paid for the October governor poll from the same firm is unknown.
• Ossoff leads by more than the governor's race margin in every poll. The same electorate is polling differently in the two top races.

No Senate fundraising figures are in this snapshot yet.

The Texas Tribune reported on Oct. 5 that Talarico's third-quarter numbers were not out yet; they were due to the FEC by Oct. 15. Cash on hand for either candidate was not available.

• Ken Paxton (R) and James Talarico (D) are the nominees for the seat Sen. John Cornyn holds. Libertarian Ted Brown polled 1% in the Texas Politics Project survey.
• The same UT survey had the governor's race at Hinojosa (D) 49%, Abbott (R) 48%, and the lieutenant governor's race at Goodwin (D) 49%, Patrick (R) 46%.
• Fox 26 Houston reported on Oct. 14 that early voting starts within a week. The exact date was not confirmed in what I read.
• Poll coverage describes the race as a dead heat, with a Fox News poll on Oct. 2 showing a razor-thin Talarico lead. Only the Texas Politics Project figures were available to me, so this tab shows one poll.

• Jocelyn Benson won the Aug. 4 Democratic primary with 83.2% over Chris Swanson. John James won the Republican primary with 50.1% over Perry Johnson.
• Former Detroit mayor Mike Duggan ended his independent campaign on May 21, saying he trailed in polling and fundraising. The coverage I read does not say whether his name stays on the ballot or whether he endorsed anyone.
• Other candidates include Donna Brandenburg (U.S. Taxpayers), Douglas Campbell (Green), and Anthony Hudson, listed as a Libertarian though that party has disavowed him.

Only one head-to-head poll was available to me, and its shares add to 94%. The article does not say how the other 6% answered. Earlier three-way polls from spring, with Duggan in the race, are out of date and left out.

• Alan Wilson (R), the state attorney general, won the June 23 runoff with 68.6% over Pamela Evette. Jermaine Johnson (D) is a state representative. Gov. Henry McMaster is term-limited.
• Both general election polls found come from Democratic-affiliated pollsters and report no margin of error. The newest is from mid-August, so this race is the least current on the page.
• A Washington Examiner story on Aug. 27 described a new poll as signaling possible tightening. It gave no pollster or figures, so it is not counted here.

No fundraising figures were found for this race.

• Byron Donalds (R), a U.S. representative, faces David Jolly (D), a former Republican congressman. Florida has not elected a Democratic governor since 1994.
• The five October polls found disagree: Donalds leads by 11 in the Stetson poll and 7 in the NBC 6/Telemundo 51 poll, while Change Research and St. Pete Polls have the race tied.
• The coverage I read does not say who sponsored any of these polls, and most do not give a sample size.
• Stetson's poll also had Republicans leading by double digits in other statewide races.

No fundraising figures or turnout counts were found for this race.

These figures are from a Wikipedia summary of FEC reports and are more than two months old. Newer reports were not found.

• Sen. Lindsey Graham won the June 9 Republican primary and died on July 11. Gov. Henry McMaster appointed his sister, Darline Graham, to the seat. She was sworn in July 14.
• Darline Graham won the Aug. 25 special Republican runoff with 52.4% over Rep. Ralph Norman. Trump endorsed her. She previously served on the South Carolina Commission for the Blind.
• Annie Andrews (D) is a pediatrician and was the 2022 Democratic nominee in South Carolina's 1st congressional district. She won her primary with 61.5%.
• Every poll found is either from a Republican-leaning firm, a Democratic firm, or lacks a named sponsor. Newsweek reported on Aug. 25 that no nonpartisan public polls had been released.
• Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rated the race Solid or Safe Republican as of late August. South Carolina backed Trump by 18 points in 2024.

The two Impact Research polls were released by Andrews' campaign side. Poll shares for the Trafalgar and InsiderAdvantage polls include third-party candidates.